Oscar Picks, First Pass

I tend to think of movie years from Academy Awards night to Academy Awards night, not so much because I’m an Oscars fan – though I am – but because some of the movies that get nominated don’t even make it to small markets such as Albany, NY until January or even February. Yeah, I know the Oscar nominations were very conservative this year, for the most part.

*means I have actually seen it

Best Picture
*The Artist

*The Descendants
*Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close

*Midnight in Paris
*The Help


War Horse

The Tree of Life

Saw 6 out of 9, so far, 3 in the last couple weeks. War Horse is still playing, so maybe I’ll still see it. I’d love to watch Moneyball, which is available on DVD.
WILL WIN: The Artist, which I liked. It’s a film about film. I mean, so is Hugo, but not as directly.
WANT TO WIN: Midnight in Paris, or The Descendants
PLEASE! NOT: Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close

Best Actor
Demian Bichir, A Better Life

*George Clooney, The Descendants
*Jean Dujardin, The Artist

Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Brad Pitt, Moneyball

WANT TO WIN: George Clooney. Used to be that when an actor had a good year, a couple strong performances, that’d help him. I heard good things about Ides of March.
WILL WIN: Clooney or Jean Dujardin; can’t decide yet.
DON’T KNOW: the movie A Better Life, or its star

Best Actress

Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs

*Viola Davis, The Help
Rooney Mara, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
*Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn

WANT TO WIN: Meryl Streep, who’s been nominated about 117 times, but has won only twice and not since the early 1980s
WILL WIN: I keep predicting Streep, so why stop now? Naturally, then, it’ll be Davis.

Best Supporting Actor
*Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn

Jonah Hill, Moneyball

Nick Nolte, Warrior

*Christopher Plummer, Beginners
*Max Von Sydow, Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close

WANT TO WIN, WILL WIN: Christopher Plummer, who is an old guy pivotal to his movie, as opposed to Von Sydow, who is an old guy, who has less dialogue than Jean Dujardin

Best Supporting Actress

*Berenice Bejo, The Artist

*Jessica Chastain, The Help

*Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
*Octavia Spencer, The Help

WANT TO WIN: actually any of the ones I’ve seen for different reasons. McCarthy because comedy is undervalued.
WILL WIN: Spencer.

Best Director

*Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris

*Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist

Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
*Alexander Payne, The Descendants

*Martin Scorsese, Hugo

WILL WIN: Hazanavicius

Best Original Screenplay
*Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris

JC Chandor, Margin Call

Asghar Farhadi, A Separation

*Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
*Kristen Wiig and Annie Mumolo, Bridesmaids

WANT TO WIN, WILL WIN: Woody Allen. The screenplay categories have traditionally consolation prizes, and I think, since Woody’s not going to get film or director, this is where he’ll get some love.

Best Adapted Screenplay
*Alexander Payne, Nat Faxton, Jim Rash, The Descendants
*John Logan, Hugo
George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Beau Willimon, The Ides of March
Aaron Sorkin, Steven Zaillian, Moneyball
Bridget O’Connor, Peter Straughn, Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy

WANT TO WIN, WILL WIN: Payne, et al, who will lose out on picture and director, but likewise takes this prize.

What Oscar-nominated movies did you see this year, and what are YOUR picks?

0 thoughts on “Oscar Picks, First Pass”

  1. Breathtaking Emma Stone. Not too crazy about the actual Revlon commercial. Emma appears in a faux trailer for ‘Martin Luther King Day’ movie that features a star-studded cast like Andy Samberg, Nick Cannon, John Krasinski, Amy Adams, Kristen Bell and much more. Maybe you’ve seen Oscar chosen The Help? The Help is really a timeless story in regards to the ability to create change, starring Emma Stone and Octavia Spencer, directed by Tate Taylor. Get it from Amazon Instant Download http://goo.gl/5LJ58


  2. Just watched “Moneyball”. I’ll have my usual long-winded blog post soon enough, but for now…it’s really, really good. And I say that as someone who has been very hard on Aaron Sorkin of late (but he shares screenplay credit with Steven Zaillian).


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